
TECHNICAL
ANALYSIS PATTERNS (CONTINUED)
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Continuation Patterns
(TRIANGLES, PENNANTS,
FLAGS,
WEDGES,RECTANGLES)
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continuation patterns
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фигуры продолжения
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Vocabulary
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Continuation
patterns confirm the continuation of an existing trend. They indicate that a
sideway price movement is only a pause in the prevailing conditions.
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'pause e
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- пауза, отдых
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Triangles
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ascending
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- восходящий
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The ascending and descending
triangles are price patterns that occur on bar charts and are similar in
many respects to the more familiar symmetrical triangle. An ascending triangle
is formed by a high. a low, a second high
approximately equal to the first high, and a second low which is higher than
the first low. For a descending triangle the situation is reversed. This
pattern forecasts future price movement because prices are expected to
break in the direction of the two equal price levels (to the high side on
ascending triangles, and to the low side on descending
triangles). In order for the pattern to be valid, two important conditions must
be met:
1. Volume and open
interest should decline as the triangle forms.
2. The breakout should
occur between 1/2 to 3/4 of the distance from the start of
the pattern to the apex.
When a breakout occurs, prices should continue in the same
direction by an amount equal to the distance from the highest high in the triangle
to the lowest low. The symmetrical triangle is seen when highs
become lower and lower, and lows become higher and higher, with the resistance
and support lines converging. This must be done in nearly a horizontal trend
to avoid forming a wedge. Keep in mind that triangles are quite often
continuation patterns, see Flags.

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A wedge pattern on bar charts
is similar in certain respects
to a symmetrical triangle
formation (in fact triangles are some times referred to as wedges). However,
wedees have distinct features from triangles: A
rising wedge is characterized by a high, a low, a higher high and a higher
low. This will give the appearance of an uptrend, but in a wedge the line
connecting the highs and the line connecting the lows converge, whereas in a
channel they will remain more or less parallel. In a triangle, either the
highs or the lows are roughly equal, or else the convergence takes place
with no trend implications, as in
a symmetrical triangle. It is rising, or falling, nature of the wedge that
separates it from the triangle formation.
Wedges form most often as a
counter-trend consolidation
area. This means that during a
strong downtrend, a rising wedge will sometimes form as a corrective pattern
before the down trend resumes. Thus, a rising wedge has bearish
implications, and a falling wedge has bullish implications. After the wedge
forms, a breakout is confirmed when prices break the corresponding trendline the lower one in a rising wedge and the upper
line in a falling wedge. After the breakout, prices should travel at least as
far as the starting point of the formation.
Rectangle
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Э:
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converge
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— сходятся
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ei
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implication
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— то, что
подразумевается
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e
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rectangle
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— прямоугольник
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о
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to resolve
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— разрешаться,
решаться,
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формироваться
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u:
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clue
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— указание,
наметка
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ae
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to validate
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-узаконить
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A common consolidation pattern that occurs on price charts
is the rectangle. This technical formation usually occurs at the end
of a strong market move, either an uptrend or downtrend, and typically
represents a pause in the action. A rectangle is also known as a
trading range or a consolidation and is easy to observe because price
movements are clearly confined by two parallel lines. A rectangle normally is
resolved as a continuation pattern, see Flags. This means that prices
should continue in the direction they were moving before the
consolidation began. Another clue to the direction of the breakout is the
volume pattern within the rectangle. If volume is stronger during the rallies
than on the declines, the upside breakout is more probable. The measuring
objective after a breakout is determined by the height of the
trading range. This distance is added to the level of the breakout point to
reach a minimum objective. Similar to a triangle pattern, strong volume is
necessary on an upside move to validate the breakout. It is not necessary for a
downside breakout.

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One of the most reliable of
all technical formations is the
flag or pennant pattern. These
patterns are very similar. Both are formed after a sharp, straight-line move
that occurs on heavy volume (either up or down). After the move. a flag is formed by a short, choppv
consolidation period. This consolidation is bounded by two parallel lines
(rectangle). A pennant is formed after a strong move during a short
consolidation period that resembles a small triangle or wedge. Flags and pennats are almost always continuation patterns, and are
confirmed when volume
declines during the consolidation,
then prices break the respective consolidation trendlines
on strong volume (i.e., the upper boundary line after an up move, and the
lower boundary line after a down move). After the breakout, prices should
continue moving by an amount equal to the move that preceded the brief
consolidation. In this respect, flags and pennants are said to "fly at
half mast". The beginning of the move is usually the point where prices
broke out of another chart pattern, or breached important trendline support or resistance.
Pennants
A pennant is a fairly common
formation, sharing most of
its characteristics with flags.
Both are formed in dynamic markets. with a
"flagpole" formed by an impulsive almost straight line move. A
brief period of consolidation results to form the pennants "mast",
which is shaped like a small symmetrical triangle. Thereafter, prices move
in the direction of the initial impulsive move and for a similar distance,
i.e. the mast evolves halfway through the move. Thus to measure the distance
of the total move, the length of the flagpole up to the mast is measured and
projected from the breakout point of the pennant.
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э
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'choppy — часто
меняющийся
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i:
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precede —
предшествовать
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to fly at half
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mast — приспущенный
флаг
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э
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evolve —
развертываться ,
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эволюционировать
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е
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project —
проектировать
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Gaps
Consecutive transactions can
be dealt at significantly different prices. Price gaps that occur within a day's
trading do not show up on a bar graph because the graph will show the range
for the day. However, if the closing high on one day is below the low of the
next day (or one day's low is above the next day's high), a gap actually
shows on the bar graph. There are four basic kinds of gap. One, the runaway
gap. reflects a continuation of the move. A runaway gan appears after a significant move has already occured. In indicates that the move has received a second
wind and is ready to go higher with relative ease. The runaway gap frequently
occurs approximately halfway along a major move. Common Gap
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e consecutive
л runaway
as 'gap
a second wind
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последующий — убегание
— скачок
усиление
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Two of the other three kinds
of gap, the common gap and
the breakaway gap, are important
in terms of market reversals.
The common gap materializes on
one day but subsequently gets filled in. It often is nothing more than the
result of thin markets.
It is viewed by most
practitioners as a false signal, although it can be an indication that the
market is leaning to break out in the direction of the gap.
The breakaway gap frequently
occurs at the end of a con
Solidation phase, at the end of a key
price pattern, or after a major support, or resistance line has been broken.
It usually represents the beginning of a fairlv
major move. A breakaway gap is often sharp because those with wrong positions
not only will get out of the bad position they are in, but will also
establish positions in line with the market move. A breakaway gap may get
partially filled in, but mot totally.
The fourth kind of gap. an
exhaustion gap, occurs near the
end of the market move. The
market tries to jump forward, but there is little support for the move, and
the market quickly retraces. When prices come back through the gap, it is a
fairly reliable barometer that the move is over. The exhaustion gap often
correlates to the period when small players enter the market.
When that happens, in is
another signal to be a contrarian and to expect the market to reverse.
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in line with
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— в
соответствии с
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ei
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retrace
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— возвращаться
по пройденному
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пути
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Э:
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correlate
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—
соответствовать
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еэ
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contrarian
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— идущий от противного
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to fill
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- наполнять
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Islands
Islands are an even more
extreme example of a change in market sentiment giving a sharp reversal.
An island is formed by at least two gaps. In an uptrend reversal,
the first gap is a "break away" as the market opens higher
than the previous time periods high, and maintains that gap. The gap is
never "filled" in that at least one entire time period is traded
above the gap. The reversal occurs when prices fall sharply in a
subsequent period, whether it be the next period or
many later. The drop has to gap through, leaving an island of price activity
clearly defined by at east two gaps, one up, one down. The reverse is tme in a turn of a bear market. Futures markets
sometimes have gaps. while 24-hour foreign
exchange markets tend to see them less frequently. When seen though, they can
be powerful indications of a trend change.
Comprehension
Questions
1. What do continuation patterns show?
2. How are ascending and descending triangles for med?
3. How do wedges differ from triangles?
4. When do wedges form a counter trend consolidation area?
5. Why is a rectangle called a trading range?
6. Why is the flag, or pennant pattern one of the most reliable of all
technical formations?
7. When does a gap usually show on the bar graph?
8. What kinds of gap do you know?
Exercises
Ex.
1.
Put questions to the underlined words and let your partner answer them.
Ex.
2.
Describe the market situation using the gaps chart.
Ex.
3.
Read and translate the text.
Ex.
4.
Select sentences which are difficult to translate and make a syntactical
analysis of them.
TRANSLATION PRACTICE
New
Concepts in Support and Resistance
In
the spot Yen chart (figure 2) the reversal at a.) was
violent, once the maximum bullish point was lost it was not seen again.
This level later serves to top out a strong rally leaving
high order isolated high (an isolated high that has several lower isolated
highs in each side of it). Level b.) is nothing like so decisive. Look at the pullback from the
high during the second period of the reversal. Level b.)
acts as support and rebuffs a subsequent
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downward thrust, but it is not really
potent — accordingly it gives up without much of a fight a little later.
c.) is similarly weak, and on
eventual attack it gives way easily. d.) and e.), however, constitute strong
support (d.) and resistance (e.) when retested, as here the potential for
getting un-
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Vocabulary
ou 'potent — мощный
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pleasantly caught was high.
Finally we have the classic
case of f.) where the reversal
sweeps "don't hold hands"
and price rallies rapidly and decisively. Accordingly the max bear point
level f.) serves to halt a subsequent strong downthrust.
The hourly Spot Stg chart (figure 2) shows four reversal
Levels that have one property
in common, namely they each represent the period of maximum bullishness [b.)
and c.)] and bearishness [a.) and d.)] of their structures. (Note the period of maximum
bullishness/bearishness should always be looked for in any reversal or
consolidation structure.) Whilst in the great majority of cases it is
constituted by an isolated high or a two period reversal of the type
discussed (high and low of the first period depending on direction of
reversal), this is not always the
case. Sometimes this point can be
"cunninglv" hidden amongst the
oscillating price action (eg. "c" in the Stg Hourly chart)
yet it will still represent a key level if the area containing it is re-challenged.
How long do these horizontal
support/resistance levels
maintain their influence?
When price action reaches key
levels it is more common to find price stalling than rushing straight through
like a runaway train. This stall mav precipitate a
reversal or a consolidation. where the market
gathers itself for a decisive push through the price obstacle(s) that has
temporarily balked it. When price breaches support/resistance it weakens it,
even if by the close we
have returned back through the
level.
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To precipitate - ускорять
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to hold one's
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hand — воздерживаться от действий, занимать выжидательную позицию
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to stall — задерживать
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ei
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failure — точка неудачи
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correlation — оказаться в соотношении
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