
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS PATTERNS
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Price Information:
Open-High-Low-Close-OHLC
To accurately read the market, you only need four pieces of
information: the Open, the High, the Low and the Close Price.
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Vocabulary
e to reflect — рассматривать
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The Open Price
This is the price at which the first trade for the day takes place.
Both buyers and sellers have had time to reflect upon the markets close on
the previous day. Their perceptions will affect whether the stock opens
higher or lower the next day. The subsequent price holds the clue as to which
side of the market is the more dominant force — the buyers or the sellers.
The High Price
This refers to the highest
price at which the security has traded that day. It is at this point that
buyers decide not to push the price up any higher or alternatively, when
sellers have gained control. If the high is at or near the opening of the
day, that is a sign that the sellers have been the dominant force. If the
high occurs near the end of the trading session and the open was near the low
of the day, the buyers have had control.
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u: 'clue — ответ
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Э:
to occur to gain control
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—
случаться — устанавливать
контроль
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The Low Price
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This refers to the lowest price
at which the security has
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traded that day. At this point the
sellers have decided not to accept a lower price or alternatively, when
buyers have gained or regained control of the market.
If the low is near the opening
of that day, that is a sign that
the buyers have been the dominant
force. If the low is near the close of the day, that is a sign that the
sellers are keen to sell and that therefore they have been in control.
The Close Price
The close is also sometimes called
the sentiment. It is the
price at which the security is
trading at the end of the day. This is the most watched price in analysis as
it is seen as the final judgement on who won the
day between the buyers and the sellers.
If the close is at or near the
high of the day and the opening was near the low, it points toward a day of
buying. An intra day chart would also reveal that prices were probably in an
upward trending mode all day.
If the close is halfway
between the high and low irrespective of the open, that is interpreted as the
market being evenly divided. That is, that the buying power was balanced by
the selling pressure.
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to be keen
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— быть заинтересованным
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e
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'sentiment
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— настроение
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to win the day
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— добиться победы
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l
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'irrespective of
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— независимо от
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Price Patterns
Whether the market is ranging or trending, price movements
are not always smooth. As a result price pattern identification is used to
determine whether a market trend is intact or whether there exists the
possibility of a reversal.
On the basis of chart formations significance to the current trend of
the currency they fall into two categories: reversal patterns and continuation
patterns.
Reversal patterns

A prerequisite for any reversal pattern is the presence of
a trend.
Reversal patterns are often accompanied by a break in the trend line or
pivot point. (The larger the pattern, the greater the
significance.)
Head and Shoulders Reversal Pattern
The Head and Shoulders pattern is one of the most popular
patterns but also one of the most difficult to identify. This pattern
derives its name from its formation — which resembles a person. A true
head and shoulders pattern will have the left and right shoulders roughly at
the same height and distance from the head. The neckline should be almost
level.
Head Голова

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Before A the neckline was a
resistance line. Once it was
broken the resistance line turned
into a support line. At points В and С the price
bounced off it twice. The neckline was broken in point D and the trend
reversed. A retest took place at point E.
The neckline was a resistance
line again. The resistance point held, and the price declined to the level of
F, the price target of the head and shoulders formation.
In an uptrend Left Shoulder
represents a correction. If it
takes place — traders may take
profits. Trend is still intact.
The Head indicates: that
prices move up and surpass the
high of the left shoulder
(Climax), but then move down again.
This places the upward trend
in question.
Rieht Shoulder represents a retest.
Buvers re-emerge and
price starts to go up again. If
price moves up to the same level of the left shoulder or if it retraces 50%
from the Head to the ootential neckline — the rieht shoulder is complete. It is an indication that a
down trend is in place.
There are various analysis
regarding the role volume plays
with Head and Shoulder patterns.
In an uptrend some maintain that the left shoulder carries the hiehest volume, that volume, decreases at the Head and
then falls substantially by the right shoulder. Others maintain that the
volume is highes at the Head and has a greater
decline in the right shoulder.
When the market moves out of a
Head and Shoulders
pattern to the upside, it must have
high volume.
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au
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to 'bounce off -
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- отскакивать
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a.
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'target
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- цель, точка движения цены
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Time
Double tops and bottoms are more common than (but not as significant
as) triple tops and bottoms. A double top is referred to as an M, while a
double bottom is termed a W. Double top and double bottom patterns are fairly
common on price charts, but are often ovemsed. In a
double top, a new high is set on strong volume, then
volume subsides as prices decline. On the ensuing rally, prices climb back to
the first high, but fail to close above this level, and prices begin to fall
again. (C) At this point, there is only a potential double top. It is not
confirmed until prices close below the first low, usually on strong volume.
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sju: ensuing — следующий
i: to exceed
— превышать
u: 'crucial — решающий, важный
ei prevailing —
господствующий
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After a settlement under this low has been recorded, prices should
continue to move a distance equal to the height from the original high to the
first low. The same is true for double bottoms, but in the opposite direction.
A variation of this pattern is the triple top (and triple bottom). This begins
like the double top, but instead of the second correction breaking the first
low, prices rally from this point back to the original high. Then, on the third
correction, if prices close below the two previous lows, the pattern is
complete. The measuring objective is identical to the double top. These
patterns often occur at major tops and bottoms, and often exceed the original
target by a substantial amount. It is cmcial, though,
to wait until prices settle below the first low. Clearly, a breach of the highs
in a potential top, or the lows in a potential bottom
will leave this looking like a breakout in the direction of the prevailing
trend, and rectangle/ consolidation area breakout would be in action, potentially
a flag as well.
Rounding Tops and Bottoms

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A less frequent, but no less useful
technical formation is the rounding bottom and rounding top. They are
sometimes referred to as saucers and inverted saucers, respectively. As the name
implies, a rounding bottom occurs when prices gradually shift from a
downtrend to an uptrend to form a short of shallow "U" shape on the
charts. To validate this formation, it is important that the volume also form
a saucer formation: that is, volume should gradually decline as the downtrend
ends, then slowly increase as prices begin to rise again. In a bottom
formation, this type of price action represents accumulation — the
"smart money" slowly adding to long positions. At tops, this formation
represents distribution, or the "smart money" getting out of long
positions and adding to short ones. A common variation of saucers is for
prices to rise sharply and suddenly on strong volume near the mid-point of
the formation. This activity only lasts a few sessions, after which prices
fall back within the rounding pattern. It is difficult to determine exactly
when the pattern is complete, but a good indication occurs when volume begins
to increase sharply or prices break an important area.
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0:
'saucer
ae 'shallow
ae to validate
smart
money
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— блюдцо, соусник — мелкий
— узаконить, сделать действительной
— вложение денег без риска,
используя секретную информацию
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Comprehension Questions
1. How many prices does the dealer need to know to read the
market?
2. What affects the open price?
3. What does the high near the end of the trading session show?
4. Why is the close called sentiment?
5. What do price patterns indicate?
6. Which is the most popular reversal patterns?
7. What role does volume play with Head and Shoulders patterns?
8. Compare Double Top and Rounding Top patterns.
Exercises
Ex. 1.
Put questions to the underlined words.
Ex. 2.
Compare the reversal patterns and state their difference.
Ex. 3.
Translate the dialogue from English into Russian in writing and from Russian
into English orally.
Dialogue:
Client: What are the prerequisites of reversal patterns?
Broker: A prerequisite for any reversal pattern is the
presence of a trend. A break in the trend line usually
accompanies a reversal pattern.
The lai-ger the pattern, the
greater the significance. CI: When does a retest in the Right Shoudler take place? Br: A retest is always a retest of the
climax whether it be a top or a bottom. CI: What are
the conditions for a retest of a climax?
Br: In a trending market there must be a
rally. Market has a sharp turn down. New buyers start buying. CI: And the new
buyers are not enthusiastic. Br: No, they are not. Declining volume and trading
range confirm that. CI: When is the retest complete?
Br: The retest is complete if the buyers falter within the 50% region
of the climax retest and price turns sharply down. A retest does not require
the trader to wait for a break of the previous low pivot point.
TRANSLATION PRACTICE
New Concepts in Support and Resistance
Fig. 1

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There is an understandable tendency to
look to see kev horizontal support and resistance
levels tested when they are reapproached. Many
traders tend to set profit targets referenced to such levels, and stops also
tend to be positioned relative to breaches of these levels. This is all verv well but disappointment often results as the key
support and resistance levels in a structure aren't necessarily the isolated
highs and lows. Thus very often the market will reverse just short of these
levels, much to the fury of many traders who'd been counting the pennies
before they were securely in the till! Consider the stylised
bar chart in figure 1, areas (A) and (B) represent a two period reversal stmcture that is commonly seen in the markets. Taking the
highlighted (A) area first, the bulls would have been well contented at the
close of the period (close "C"). However, they were due for a
shock, as whilst the market did push higher to begin with in the next period
(sucking more weakly committed bulls in), by the close (close "D")
there were a lot of unhappy and damaged traders around. The high of the first
period "b" constitutes a much more potent resistance level when
retested, than the actual isolated high of the structure marked
"a". This is not to say that "a" won't be attacked, but
time and again you'll find it's "b" where the real battle is
fought, and where the subsequent reversal or
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Vocabulary
to set targets — ставить
цели
ja fury — бешенство
till — касса
л to suck in — всасывать
ou 'potent - сильный
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consolidation will be initiated. In the
practical sense one could say "b" is more significant than
"a" due to a greater degree of market confidence at "b",
and it is almost certainly associated with higher volume. There is however
another way of looking at it, which I call the "Concept of Maximum
Bearishness/Bullishness".
Maximum
Bearishness/Bullishness
If in the first highlighted
period of (A) the bulls had been
totally in control, with the
bears utterly routed, then the close of
the period would have been at
"b", the period high. One can
look at this pullback from the
high — the difference between "b"
and "с" — as representing
the ability of the bears to fight back.
Similarly in the second oeriod of (A) the orice
difference
between "d" and
"e" represents the ability of the bulls to fight
back after being mauled. The way
to evaluate which is the period of maximum bullish strength in any structure
(which is where the bulls had maximum control) is to sweep back these
differences (the pullback from the high) through the respective closes and
compare the levels obtained. This is the concept of SWEEP and it is the
period with the highest sweep level that constitutes maximum bullishness.
The high of this maximum
bullish period is a key resistance. I think it can be easily seen that
reflecting "b"—"c"
back through "c"
gives a much higher level than reflecting "a"—"d" back
through "d". Thus it's the first period of (A) and its high
"b" that qualifies as the maximum bull point not point
"a", despite it being higher. Note the maximum bull period may
indeed be the one that includes the actual isolated high (area (D)
is such an example).
Resistance
Level Strength
Price action as depicted in
(A), being a two period bull
reversal structure, needs to be viewed
in light of the above if, or when, the market returns to the same level.
There are a couple of tests that can be applied to make a judgement
on how potent the resistance level "b" is likely to prove:
1. Reflect the
"sweep" movement of the price curve points
"b"-"c"
down through "c" and "d"-"t" up through
"d". Do
the two levels cross or are they
able to "hold hands" as I term it?
If they do not, it's a measure
of how many people have been
caught and how badly they've been
caught. It is the pain and distress that materialises
from a reversal level that directly and strongly influences how potent it
will prove at a later time. If the reversal was violent, closing on or near
the low of the period and thereby giving the majority in a bad position
little or no time to get out, then "b" will return to
"haunt" the market if the level is re—attained — pain is remembered
even if only subconciosly!
2. Look at the price action
following the reversal period,
did it make a fair job of
re-tracing before going down again, or did the market just plummet? If it's
the former then "b" won't be nearly so key a level than if we get a
nose dive. Again it comes back to giving traders an opportunity to get out
when wrong without a serious loss. Remember a violent one-way market means
somebody somewhere is in distress!
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au
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to rout — разгромить
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о:
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to maul — калечить, бить
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to hold hands — занимать выжидательную
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политику
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e distress — горе
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pain — боль
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О' .
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'to haunt - преследовать
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л
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to 'plummet — резко упасть
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Exercises
Ex. 1. Put questions to the underlined words.
Ex. 2.
Find verbal constructions and state their syntactical function in the sentence.
Ex. 3.
Select sentences which present difficulties for translation and make a
syntactical analysis of them.
Ex.
4. Draw up a plan of
the article.
Ex. 5.
Enact an imaginary dialogue between the author and a dealer on support and
resistance.